MAK CapitalCrypto Desk
Archive/2026-10-06Airdrops

Airdrops Pack

Daily Airdrops Pack — Tuesday 2026-10-06

As-of: ~09:20 ET America/New_York

Top farms

  1. Variational Omni — Credibility 90 / US + Canada Restricted = N/A compliant · weekly points Fri 00:00 UTC, end no later than end Q4 2026 (Fact); $VAR Q4 2026, Genesis 32% (docs; press repeats, no exact date). Unchanged.
  2. Fables — Credibility 88 · Week 7 (5–12 Oct) live; Week 8 12–19 Oct, 250M each; pts end 19 Oct 02:00 UTC (18 Oct 10 PM ET); guide 12 Oct; select liquid vs veFABLES 12–19 Oct (no selection = no claim); launch 20 Oct, claims ~1 month; ≤75M liquid at launch; PROLOGUE snapshot 17–18 Oct (moving PROLOGUE after voids claim; worst case 40 PROLOGUE : 1 FABLES); USDG pot 12 Oct (last listed). US: site banner "Deposits are not available in your region. You can still withdraw and claim." Minor new: banner "XBOW is live! LP in XBOW/USDG for additional rewards" (unverified program detail); Terms last updated 2 Oct. All Fact, unchanged.
  3. Lighter RH Chain pts — Credibility 80 / US geo-blocked = N/A compliant · real-time + Friday weekly; no %→token. Unchanged.
  4. Arcus — Credibility 78 / US/CA/UK Restricted = N/A compliant · S1 drop tomorrow Wed 7 Oct 3PM ET; 250K/wk; ≤ end H1 2027; S0 hidden; Annex C = participation metric, no entitlement. Page modified 4 Oct, content unchanged.
  5. Extended — Credibility 72 / US/UK/CA restricted = N/A compliant · still 68,734,321 pts as of 29.09.2026, ≤600k/wk; no newer total.
  6. Limitless S4 — Credibility 70 / US prohibited (secondary) · 25 May → 26 Oct 2026, Monday distributions. Unchanged.
  7. Neutral Trade S2 — Credibility 66 / US restricted by location (FAQ) · S2 "current active rewards period"; no token/TGE. Unchanged.

Table

ProjectChainStatusCredCore actionsCost/timeSnapshot/deadlineSocial quests?Sources
Variational OmniArbitrumPoints → $VAR90Organic Omni trading; referralsCapital + PnL; US/CA restricted (Fact)Fact: weekly pts end ≤ EOQ4 2026Ndocs.variational.io/omni/rewards/points · /legal/restricted-persons
FablesRH ChainWeek 7 of 888In-range LP; referral; Monday USDGLP + IL; US deposits gated (Fact banner/terms)Fact: pts end 19 Oct 02:00 UTC; select 12–19; PROLOGUE snap 17–18; launch 20 OctNfables.fi/docs/points-and-fees · /fables-governance · /prologue
Lighter RH ptsRobinhood ChainLive80Eligible RH tradingPerps risk; US blocked (Fact)Open-ended; Fri dropsNdocs.lighter.xyz/points-program/lighter-on-robinhood-chain-points
ArcusRobinhood ChainS1 live78Trade / MM / deposits / refsUS/CA/UK restricted (Fact)Fact: next drop 7 Oct 3PM ET; ≤ H1 2027Narcus.xyz/blog/introducing-arcus-points
ExtendedStarknetLive72Trade / LP / refsUS/UK/CA restrictedFact: 68.73M pts as of 29.09Ndocs.extended.exchange/extended-resources/points-program
Limitless S4BaseS470Non-UGM trades; LP; $200 floorUS prohibited (secondary)Fact: ends 26 OctOptional Xlimitless.exchange/blog/points-season-4-announcement
Neutral Trade S2SolanaS266Deposit-time + fee ptsUS restricted (FAQ)No token/TGE statedNdocs.neutral.trade/getting-started/neutral-trade-points-and-referrals

Context today (not farms)

ItemAssessment
Sonic S1/S2 claimCHANGED — Fact: MySonic dashboard shows deadline Oct 15, 2026 12:00:00 GMT = 08:00 ET Thu 15 Oct (my.soniclabs.com/points). Blog: both seasons claimable without penalty until 15 Oct, then ~32.69M S burnable. Oddity: S1 card still shows "Jan 18, 2026 – 12:00 GMT" — treat 15 Oct 08:00 ET as hard stop and claim by 14 Oct ET. ~9 days.
PolymarketFact: help center still says no token / no airdrop or TGE announced. Rumor (digest, Low): CEO "may have a little something to say" at Token 2049; fireside 7 Oct 9:30 AM SGT = tonight ~9:30 PM ET (secondary schedule). Digest: "Do not treat stage time as an allocation." Recheck tomorrow; ignore checker links.
Predict (predict.fun)Rumor (new, digest Low, single points-holder thread): "airdrop this year", CEO quoted "TGE weeks, not months." Not a team announcement. WATCH only.
Kinetiq / KNTQFact: paid claim, 50M KNTQ at $0.26 USDC, 10-day window from 1 Oct 12:01 UTC (close ~10–11 Oct, exact time unstated). SKIP (paid). "Launchpad registration Oct 5" text = nitter mirror only, not on official pages — possible phishing.
Pharos (PROS)Fact: claim portal closes 25 Oct 2026; unclaimed returns to foundation (claim.pharos.xyz/faqs). Not new; only relevant if previously eligible. Trap: look-alike pharros.xyz.
PheasantDigest: "claim live" posts used off-pattern domains — likely phishing. Ignore.
Digest heatairdrop=3, all Low/rumor (Polymarket, Predict, TxFlow BD shill). "Six airdrops" lists (Variational, Polymarket, Base, Ink, Jumper, Arcus) = speculation stacks. No Galxe/Zealy campaign cleared filter. No new free-points INCLUDE.

WATCH

  • Polymarket (35, up from 30) — Token 2049 talk tonight ET; official help center still says no token.
  • Predict (30, new) — rumor-only TGE "weeks"; need official post.
  • TxFlow (42) — Fact: app.txflow.com/points "Points Season 1 – Coming Soon"; early traders "will be recognized." Digest: BD-employee shill post, no program page.
  • Reya RCP (60) — weekly distribution FAQ unchanged. Trap: Re.xyz ≠ Reya.
  • Axis Coordinates (55) — S1 ~to 3 Dec; not rechecked today.
  • Perpl (48) — 50k/wk, retro TBA (secondary; not rechecked officially).
  • Katana Perps S1 (45) — Fact: Thu 00:00 UTC snapshot / Fri 00:00 UTC drop.

New / fading / traps & sybil

New / hotter

  • Sonic exact deadline: 15 Oct 08:00 ET (morning, not end of day).
  • Polymarket Token 2049 fireside tonight ~9:30 PM ET (Rumor).
  • Predict TGE chatter (Rumor).
  • Arcus drop tomorrow 3PM ET.

Fading / clarify

  • Kinetiq "Launchpad registration" — unverified, off-official.
  • "Six airdrops" list posts — speculation, no snapshots.

Traps & sybil

  • Fables: PROLOGUE moved after 17–18 Oct snapshot voids claim; no 12–19 Oct selection = no claim.
  • Polymarket/Pheasant/Pharos look-alike or "checker" domains — phishing-shaped.
  • Arcus Annex C: points ≠ entitlement. Kinetiq paid ≠ free.
  • Wash/multi-account wipes across Lighter/Extended/Reya/Fables/Variational/Arcus; VPN/geo-bypass banned in ToS.

Ignore (social-quest noise)

Galxe/Zealy-only boards · "six airdrops" threads · BD/ref-code shills (TxFlow) · claim-now DMs · unofficial Polymarket/Base checkers · RH meme tickers as eligibility · paid claims sold as free.

WHAT COULD I BE WRONG ABOUT?

  1. Sonic: dashboard S1 card shows a stale Jan date; if the true cutoff differs from 15 Oct 12:00 GMT it's more likely earlier than later — don't leave it to the 15th.
  2. Polymarket could announce a real token tonight (then snapshot may already be past) — or say nothing; the fireside time is from secondary schedule listings.
  3. Fables 12 Oct guide / 20 Oct launch could slip (legal/implementation caveat); XBOW reward details unverified.
  4. Arcus points may never convert; Variational could end weekly drops early in Q4.
  5. Extended total still dated 29.09 — conversion/new total could land without notice.
  6. Kinetiq close time unstated (~10–11 Oct).
  7. Perpl/Axis not rechecked officially today; Reya/Axis US posture unconfirmed.
  8. Predict rumor is a single points-holder thread.

Practical stack

  • Hygiene: official domains only (variational.io, lighter.xyz, fables.fi, arcus.xyz, extended.exchange, limitless.exchange, neutral.trade, soniclabs.com, kinetiq.xyz, polymarket.com, pharos.xyz).
  • Calendar: Polymarket fireside tonight ~9:30 PM ET → Arcus Wed 7 Oct 3PM ET → Variational/Lighter Fri 9 Oct → Kinetiq paid ends ~10–11 Oct → Fables guide + USDG pot 12 Oct → select 12–19 → Sonic 15 Oct 08:00 ET → PROLOGUE snapshot 17–18 → Fables pts end 18 Oct 10 PM ET → launch 20 Oct → Pharos claim 25 Oct → Limitless 26 Oct.

Notables for 9:30 brief (fold these)

  1. DIGEST_OK — As-of 2026-10-06 08:20 ET (box browser; needed one cache-busting reload past the stale 22 Sep page). airdrop=3, all Low/rumor. No new free-points INCLUDE.
  2. Sonic deadline now exact (Fact): Thu 15 Oct 12:00 GMT = 08:00 ET; ~32.69M S burnable after. Claim by 14 Oct.
  3. Arcus S1 drop tomorrow Wed 7 Oct 3PM ET (US/CA/UK restricted; no entitlement).
  4. Polymarket — Rumor: CEO Token 2049 fireside tonight ~9:30 PM ET; official help center still says no token/airdrop. WATCH, ignore checker links.
  5. Fables unchanged: select 12–19 Oct (or no claim), PROLOGUE snapshot 17–18 Oct, pts end 18 Oct 10 PM ET, launch 20 Oct; US deposits gated, claims/withdrawals OK.
  6. Predict TGE "weeks not months" = single-thread Rumor (new WATCH). Kinetiq paid claim SKIP; its "launchpad registration" text is off-official.
  7. Top 7 unchanged: Variational 90, Fables 88, Lighter RH 80, Arcus 78, Extended 72, Limitless 70, Neutral 66. US: all restricted/N/A for Michael except Fables claims (deposits gated).
Sources / technical notes
  • DIGEST: https://makcapitaldaily.grok.me — As-of 2026-10-06 08:20 ET → DIGEST_OK (box-browser visit; first load showed stale cached 2026-09-22 waiting page, one cache-busting reload brought LIVE MORNING ISSUE; footer meme=5 | radar=6 | airdrop=3). Scan window ~4 Oct 08:00 → 6 Oct 08:10 ET. Official docs rechecked ~9:00–9:15 ET.
  • Pack written ~9:20 AM ET for CoS 9:30 fold.